Sunday, December 10, 2006

Dodgers Getting Older And Older

其實我想簽這兩個約不是壞事,前天Dodgers公開簽下Jason Schimdt和Luis Gonzalez,此外也如之前所傳,很想回老家當backup捕手的Mike Lieberthal。

如同友台所述,我想Schimdt這個約是以金錢換取時間,相當於之前F. Col簽Furcal所耍的花招,Schimidt和Barry Zito分別為冬天鳥爛FA市場中兩大中流柢柱SP,誰簽到都代表rotation的一大補強,而雖然Zito較年輕,但他也要求更長的約,各方研究又顯示Zito逐步decline,更可能尾大不掉,這個時候使用金錢換取較短的簽約年數便是個不錯的方式,只是說我認為像Drew簽的那種opt out clause是另一種型式的替代短約,也是相當聰明處理玻璃球員的方法之一,回過頭來看看DePo當年簽的Drew、Lowe、Penny可說各個便宜又好用;而F. Col只能花更多的錢來達成相同的球員價值,有些(ie. Pierre)甚至是負的價值。

Schmidt:(07年35歲)
三年47M。

SP (06 ERA+)
Schmidt (ERA+ 125)
Penny (106, trade bait)
Lowe (126)
Wolf (83)
Billingsley (121)
Kuo (109)
Tomko (97)
Hendsuckson (98)

Gonzalez:(07年39歲)
一年7.35M。

OF (06 OPS+)
Gonzalez (OPS+ 97) <= Drew (125)
Pierre (81) <= Lofton (95)
Ethier (113)

Lieberthal:(07年35歲)
一年保證1.25M。2007年1.15M,club option 2008年1.4M或100K買斷。

Dodgers,或者說Gia-Sox可說真是越來越老了。已經年邁的Luis Gonzalez若只能打出如今年般的成績,或是更遭,只會讓Dodgers外野的攻擊更加難看而已,他近三年的OPS+ 119、112、97,配上F. Col欣賞但實際上沒有打擊能力的Pierre,Dodgers外野不但守備相當差,打擊也相當差。Lieberthal的約應該只是爽度問題,沒有人會關心backup捕手臉是長什麼德性,只要別像Toby Hall那樣吵就好了。

最後有關交易Penny的問題,我只能說Penny下半季雖然鳥的很快;但另外一位鳥的很快的Nomar卻被LA媒體捧為救世主。反正媒體和F. Col (與Jim Tracy)一樣,都只看的到他們想看到的東西,怪不得關係好。只希望不要把Penny拿去換一些鋁箔包回來。

4 comments:

Starberry said...

LEts trade for Vernon Wells...

There is no way the Jays can afford to keep him at the current market prices.

A GG CF who can hit in the middle of the line-up?

madboy said...

First, if we trade for Vernon Wells, Pierre would immediately become another joke like Julio Lugo this season.

And, Wells actually had bad defense this season. Whatever, GG means nothing like PoS for baseball. But at least he's better than a pair of legs.

Wilson said...

I still think Vernon is a good fir though.

The jays need SP..which is what we have....

Throw them a SP and a young OF and I think the deal can be done.

madboy said...

Who is that young OF?
Kemp?

Actually I think we don't have any outstanding OF prospects. And Colletti won't trade Kemp when his price is good......He always teases players and trades them when their price is bad.