Monday, August 01, 2005

Today's Quote From Tracy

Tracy had Milton Bradley lay down a sacrifice bunt, and Jeff Kent was intentionally walked to load the bases. Saenz followed with a grounder to shortstop Abraham Nunez, and that was that.

Tracy was asked afterward about the decision to have Bradley bunt.

"What if he grounds into a double play?" he said. "With those two professional guys (Saenz and Jose Valentin) coming to the plate, you take your chances."

Said Bradley: "I don't think I'd hit into a double play. I'd either hit or strike out."
那個CPBL球團去挖Jim Tracy來台灣呀?這樣互蒙其利的舉動,我會相當感動的。

找來BP的DP報告,看看誰才是躲人真正的雙殺魔人?DP_OPPS表雙殺的機會,當然這裡的DP指的是GIDP,一壘要有人且同時未兩出局;DP表雙殺打次數;DP%當然就是雙殺打率;NETDP則是與相同機會選手相較下,正數代表越易擊出雙殺打,負數代表越難擊出雙殺打。
BP:2005 Double play rates for batters
~Jul31
    DP_OPPS  DP   DP%  NETDP
Drew 61 4 6.6% -3.97
Bradley 48 3 6.2% -3.27
A. Perez 45 3 6.7% -2.88
Bako 18 0 0.0% -2.35
Penny 10 0 0.0% -1.31
Ledee 45 5 11.1% -0.88
Robles 21 2 9.5% -0.74
Lowe 12 1 8.3% -0.57
Repko 50 6 2.0% -0.53
Weaver 4 0 0.0% -0.52
Erickson 3 0 0.0% -0.39
O. Perez 10 1 10.0% -0.31
Thompson 2 0 0.0% -0.26
Navarro 2 0 0.0% -0.26
Houlton 2 0 0.0% -0.26
Chen 2 0 0.0% -0.26
Alvarez 1 0 0.0% -0.13
Valentin 22 3 13.6% 0.13
Ross 6 1 16.7% 0.22
Grabowski24 4 16.7% 0.87
Phillips 74 11 14.9% 1.33
Choi 50 8 16.0% 1.47
Werth 48 8 16.7% 1.73
Nakamura 8 3 37.5% 1.96
Rose 7 3 42.9% 2.09
Kent 97 16 16.5% 3.33
Izturis 50 10 20.0% 3.47
Saenz 49 10 20.4% 3.60
又一次,証明Tracy的腦內印象是錯誤的。Bradley後面那兩位職業選手Valentin(0.13)、Saenz(3.60)都較Bradley更容易打成雙殺打,Saenz甚至是躲人雙殺打好手。

Kent、Saenz屬於腳程較慢的選手,較易打成GIDP看起來挺合理的,但Izzy也未免太容易打雙殺打了點,此外那個Phillips的機會真的多到有點讓人不爽......
(Update)

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